The assumption of $1000/kW for electrolyzers is the killer here. China is reported to be under $300/kW for these, btw.
How much do you think electrolyzers will cost by the time they are actually needed for the last few percent of the grid? They are the kind of thing (like batteries and PV) that can be expected to have aggressive experience curves.
China is generating 4x as much electrical energy from solar+wind as it is from nuclear, and solar+wind are growing much more rapidly. Nuclear generation as a fraction of total is at best flat.
Hydrogen hype is dying for things like vehicles where it is poorly suited, now that batteries are so cheap. But for niches like long term storage it's the last nail in the coffin for nuclear. This may not be apparent when natural gas is still burnable to provide that final backup, but to get to a 100% non-fossil grid hydrogen can be very useful.
Oh an "independent researcher". We should probably google in case that means "climate change denying crank". And it does:
https://klima-fakten.net/?p=10317&lang=en
The assumption of $1000/kW for electrolyzers is the killer here. China is reported to be under $300/kW for these, btw.
How much do you think electrolyzers will cost by the time they are actually needed for the last few percent of the grid? They are the kind of thing (like batteries and PV) that can be expected to have aggressive experience curves.
China also builds 1400 MW nuclear for $3,5 billion.
And no, they are expected to remain expensive.
Hydrogen Hype is Dying, And That's a Good Thing
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=awN2w3sGj1w
China is generating 4x as much electrical energy from solar+wind as it is from nuclear, and solar+wind are growing much more rapidly. Nuclear generation as a fraction of total is at best flat.
Hydrogen hype is dying for things like vehicles where it is poorly suited, now that batteries are so cheap. But for niches like long term storage it's the last nail in the coffin for nuclear. This may not be apparent when natural gas is still burnable to provide that final backup, but to get to a 100% non-fossil grid hydrogen can be very useful.